President Aon Canada Stephane Lesperance
The Canadian commercial insurance market 2026: What we can really expect
Let's go—this is going to be exciting
Okay folks, let's get started. The Canadian commercial insurance market remains wild and highly competitive. 2026? That won't be an ordinary year. I can already see how insurers and companies need to completely rethink their risk strategies.
Underwriting discipline remains important—logically. But what I really see: Insurers are suddenly much more active. They're looking for growth opportunities and clinging to existing customer relationships. That's good for you! Because in such an environment, you can optimize your insurance programs, get better coverage and negotiate contract terms that really fit.
What really drives the market
Here's the hard truth: Climate change, natural disasters and data-driven strategies—these are completely shaking up the market. Companies that smartly link their insurance strategy to their business goals now have an advantage in 2026.
More competition = Better deals for you
Insurers are biting each other for market share. And that's your advantage! They need to come up with something: innovative solutions, better conditions, more flexibility. If you really know your risks and manage them proactively, you can make really good deals in this environment.
Competition is particularly fierce in industries with natural disaster risks. Insurers are completely rethinking their underwriting strategies right now. Transparency, agility and close cooperation with your insurer—that will make the difference in 2026.
Climate change hits hard—and how!
This isn't alarmism, but reality: Climate-related events are changing the insurance market. Wildfires, floods, extreme weather conditions—these are increasing. It's particularly bad in Saskatchewan, Manitoba and the Northwest Territories.
Last year? 8.9 million hectares of land burned. The second worst wildfire season of all time. Insured damages: 480 million US dollars. These numbers shouldn't be ignored.
What you need to do now
Check your policies. Again and again. Coverage amounts, deductibles, risk controls—everything. Work closely with your insurer. That's the only way your protection stays current.
Data is the new gold
Here comes the game-changer: Data analysis. Companies that cleverly use their internal data and present it to insurers get better contracts. Period.
From simple visualizations to complex natural disaster models—data helps you make better decisions. And it improves communication with insurers. Those working in 2026 without modern risk assessment pay more or get less coverage.
My tips for your insurance program
Here's how to get the maximum out of it:
Adapt
Coverage amounts and deductibles need to match the current risk profile. Not the old one from three years ago.
Take risk controls seriously
Fire protection, emergency plans, cybersecurity—that's not harassment, it's protection.
Talk with the insurer
Really talk. Not just once a year. Risks are constantly changing—your policy should too.
Wildfires—the huge problem
This is no longer a theoretical danger. Early warning systems, scenario analyses, customized solutions—invest in that. That not only reduces damages but improves your negotiating position.
Insurance isn't an isolated topic
Your insurance strategy needs to match your business goals. It should ensure operational continuity, cushion financial risks and strengthen long-term resilience. Nothing less.
Proactive action pays off
Risk analyses, investments in prevention, scenario modeling—insurers reward that. With better conditions and more comprehensive coverage. Those who wait pay more.
Despite everything: There are opportunities
More competition means more innovation, more individualized solutions, better service. Companies that communicate early, are transparent and invest in risk reduction get the best deals.
The conclusion—to be honest
2026 will be tough, but manageable. Those who actively assess risks, strengthen resilience and work closely with insurers will get through better. The rest? They pay more and sleep worse.
So: Don't wait, act. Your insurance strategy isn't a necessary evil, but a competitive advantage. If you use it right.
